msab1990
0xee128052e06b896579e21c60e170a769b445aaea
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $40.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.045 | $30.52 | −$144.48 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.013 | $10.45 | −$140.41 |
| Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.536 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$513.36 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? · No | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$665.69at 0.510US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$478.31at 0.298Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$110.00at 0.500US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$-43.63at 0.485Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-122.79at 0.730Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:03 | Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5362416288 | $513.36 |
| 07-01 05:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4415993296 | $318.83 |
| 07-01 03:49 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.14 | $218.77 |
| 07-01 03:02 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.49 | $765.68 |
| 07-01 02:54 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.782 | $786.89 |
| 04-07 01:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.6k |
| 04-06 08:28 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $360.00 |
| 04-06 08:28 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | SELL | 0.6666814317 | $1.3k |
| 04-05 11:38 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.7299999999 | $1.4k |
| 04-05 04:41 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.4k |
| 03-30 11:52 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 03-25 06:05 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 03-25 05:58 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.2981364776 | $300.00 |
| 03-25 04:33 | Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1805354749 | $150.86 |
| 03-25 04:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2580052498 | $175.00 |