0xee04d6a9C7a57a83bF698ac8098Aa1702d2C0D62-1764091084795
0xee04d6a9c7a57a83bf698ac8098aa1702d2c0d62
- Realised P&L
- $-340.45
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $248.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-13.78at 0.256Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$-65.13at 0.190Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$-152.78at 0.309Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 09:00 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $23.32 |
| 02-09 08:58 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.78 |
| 02-09 08:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $44.82 |
| 02-07 10:02 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $34.80 |
| 02-07 09:54 | Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | BUY | 0.953 | $19.54 |
| 02-07 09:38 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 02-07 09:37 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 12-13 11:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 12-02 13:03 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | SELL | 0.118 | $11.80 |
| 12-02 13:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.07 | $13.82 |
| 11-29 14:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 11-29 14:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 11-26 12:22 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 11-26 12:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 11-26 12:04 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.221 | $15.47 |