PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xee04d6a9C7a57a83bF698ac8098Aa1702d2C0D62-1764091084795

0xee04d6a9c7a57a83bf698ac8098aa1702d2c0d62

Realised P&L
$-340.45
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$248.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.5501.000$50.00+$22.50
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? · No0.9541.000$50.00+$2.32
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · No0.9301.000$50.00+$3.50
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.8601.000$23.26+$3.26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? · Yes0.9421.000$21.23+$1.23
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.4701.000$20.00+$10.60
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2920.115$18.40$28.40
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.4620.043$7.99$78.90
Half-Life 3 released in 2025? · No0.9461.000$7.40+$0.40
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$8.75
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · No0.4900.000$0.00$23.32
Government shutdown on Saturday? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$13.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-09 09:00Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.49$23.32
02-09 08:58Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.26$2.78
02-09 08:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL0.07$44.82
02-07 10:02Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.29$34.80
02-07 09:54Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?BUY0.953$19.54
02-07 09:38Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY0.66$13.20
02-07 09:37US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.47$9.40
12-13 11:09Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2$20.00
12-02 13:03Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?SELL0.118$11.80
12-02 13:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.07$13.82
11-29 14:21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.55$27.50
11-29 14:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.27$27.00
11-26 12:22U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.5$25.00
11-26 12:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.31$15.50
11-26 12:04Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?BUY0.221$15.47