Felix1413
0xedf7f2c34970ca2c2f968d9c2d6f28fb9b621db8
- Realised P&L
- $26.65
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $231.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.570 | $132.22 | +$98.63 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.635 | $31.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.078 | $28.02 | −$31.98 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.165 | $9.98 | +$5.30 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.176 | $8.69 | +$5.92 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.350 | $7.61 | −$2.39 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.337 | $7.04 | +$5.86 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.143 | $3.82 | −$1.18 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.044 | $1.83 | +$1.15 |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.003 | $0.17 | −$35.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.85at 0.309Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$27.73at 0.639Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$16.80at 0.425Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$16.49at 0.556Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$13.49at 0.431Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 20:20 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.51 | $35.70 |
| 06-16 16:16 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $3.49 |
| 06-16 16:15 | Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? | BUY | 0.898 | $15.27 |
| 06-16 16:14 | Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $19.11 |
| 06-16 16:13 | Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $5.59 |
| 06-16 16:13 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $6.99 |
| 06-16 12:54 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $5.59 |
| 06-16 12:53 | Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $7.69 |
| 06-16 12:45 | Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $13.28 |
| 06-16 12:44 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $3.49 |
| 06-16 12:43 | Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $8.39 |
| 06-16 12:41 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | BUY | 0.699 | $8.39 |
| 06-16 12:40 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.82 | $10.37 |
| 06-03 15:10 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.62 | $55.55 |
| 06-03 15:09 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.934 | $152.66 |