Immortal
0xedf481e2c64afc33c959e42a3cec2135a82b00fb
- Realised P&L
- $283.20
- Volume
- $181.7k
- Markets traded
- 612
- Open portfolio
- $3.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded612
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.011 | $1.13 | +$0.65 |
| Government shutdown by October 1? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.58 | −$0.01 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.542 | $0.54 | +$0.15 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.445 | $0.45 | −$0.09 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.065 | $0.07 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$399.95at 0.050Penn State vs. UCLA
- +$319.51at 0.797Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
- +$262.19at 0.191Will West Ham win on 2025-11-02?
- +$222.28at 0.632Ethereum Up or Down on January 24?
- +$220.82at 0.087Northwestern vs. Penn State
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 06:15 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.22 |
| 07-31 06:15 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $0.97 |
| 07-31 06:14 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.04 |
| 07-31 06:14 | OKX IPO in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.03 |
| 07-31 06:14 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.04 |
| 06-29 14:24 | SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day? | BUY | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 06-25 07:48 | Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.972 | $0.97 |
| 06-25 07:47 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 06-25 07:46 | Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 06-21 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.28 |
| 05-31 17:48 | Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans | SELL | 0.001 | $0.53 |
| 05-14 06:52 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 05-12 17:07 | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | SELL | 0.011 | $0.08 |
| 05-12 16:55 | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 22:13 | North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.12 |