PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Immortal

0xedf481e2c64afc33c959e42a3cec2135a82b00fb

Realised P&L
$283.20
Volume
$181.7k
Markets traded
612
Open portfolio
$3.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded612
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? · Yes0.0050.011$1.13+$0.65
Government shutdown by October 1? · Yes0.0100.007$0.75$0.25
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes0.5900.585$0.58$0.01
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3950.542$0.54+$0.15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5300.445$0.45$0.09
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.3000.065$0.07$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 06:15Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.004$1.22
07-31 06:15Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?SELL0.974$0.97
07-31 06:14Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.045$0.04
07-31 06:14OKX IPO in 2026?SELL0.05$0.03
07-31 06:14Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.043$0.04
06-29 14:24SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?BUY0.01$4.00
06-25 07:48Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.972$0.97
06-25 07:47Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.002$0.00
06-25 07:46Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?SELL0.001$0.00
06-21 15:44Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21?BUY0.011$0.28
05-31 17:48Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat TitansSELL0.001$0.53
05-14 06:52Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.006$1.20
05-12 17:07Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers HyderabadSELL0.011$0.08
05-12 16:55Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers HyderabadBUY0.1299998986$1.00
04-29 22:13North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?SELL0.93$10.12