kaizer88
0xedf271de25b82dc764990066c6e149a9ca9836e9
- Realised P&L
- $-68.98
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $26.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.270 | $15.75 | +$0.00 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.141 | $10.68 | +$1.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET · Up | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up | 0.546 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.44at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$16.74at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$13.94at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$6.43at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$5.33at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999982 | $43.06 |
| 10-08 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999996 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $5.64 |
| 10-08 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $11.87 |
| 10-08 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $54.76 |
| 10-08 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $22.25 |
| 10-08 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $25.00 |