nfti
0xedf19b34222eb9f8ae52dea1fddb4f482d1da2fd
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $155.9k
- Markets traded
- 994
- Open portfolio
- $14.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded994
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.98at 0.430Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
- +$159.15at 0.098Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
- +$135.00at 0.651Bitcoin Up or Down in May?
- +$114.28at 0.258Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?
- +$87.11at 0.634Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.6726014568 | $25.85 |
| 09-30 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5260261152 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 19:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.981 | $15.12 |
| 09-30 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.524752469 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 07:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 22:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6PM ET | SELL | 0.991 | $19.42 |
| 09-28 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 17:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 16:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |