deeznuts83
0xedf01e2d7cdcd4139d757863255d5cd4ecee1e2a
- Realised P&L
- $-59.9k
- Volume
- $2.43M
- Markets traded
- 344
- Open portfolio
- $16.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded344
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.146 | $8.3k | +$1.3k |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.934 | $6.7k | +$5.4k |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.093 | $1.2k | +$236.86 |
| Capitals vs. Flames · Flames | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.2k |
| Bruins vs. Lightning · Bruins | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Islanders vs. Sabres · Islanders | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.00 |
| Sharks vs. Ducks · Sharks | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Red Wings vs. Hurricanes · Red Wings | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Wild vs. Canadiens · Wild | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.5k |
| Flyers vs. Flames · Flyers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights · Jets | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Cavaliers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.00 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics · Kansas City Royals | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.6k |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$292.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.500UAB Blazers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- +$8.6kat 0.430Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
- +$7.9kat 0.506Bills vs. Patriots
- +$7.3kat 0.390Sharks vs. Panthers
- +$7.1kat 0.410Utah vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 08:02 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $1.5k |
| 07-16 20:50 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0755801498 | $999.00 |
| 07-16 20:42 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1241729997 | $7.0k |
| 06-30 19:27 | France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $2.5k |
| 06-18 01:23 | Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $4.4k |
| 06-17 04:39 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.12 | $312.00 |
| 06-17 04:25 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.37 | $148.49 |
| 06-16 00:11 | Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $324.95 |
| 06-16 00:09 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.0k |
| 06-05 01:42 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.33 | $279.94 |
| 05-25 21:30 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5571063894 | $1000.00 |
| 05-25 21:29 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.4215304229 | $179.50 |
| 05-25 21:29 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.14 | $99.53 |
| 05-25 20:56 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.1 | $10.25 |
| 05-25 20:31 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.53 | $2.6k |