deeznuts83
0xedf01e2d7cdcd4139d757863255d5cd4ecee1e2a
- Realised P&L
- $-60.3k
- Volume
- $2.47M
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $17.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.165 | $9.3k | +$2.3k |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.961 | $6.9k | +$5.6k |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.116 | $1.5k | +$527.66 |
| Capitals vs. Flames · Flames | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.2k |
| Bruins vs. Lightning · Bruins | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
| Islanders vs. Sabres · Islanders | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.00 |
| Sharks vs. Ducks · Sharks | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Red Wings vs. Hurricanes · Red Wings | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Wild vs. Canadiens · Wild | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.5k |
| Flyers vs. Flames · Flyers | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights · Jets | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Cavaliers | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.00 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics · Kansas City Royals | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.6k |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) · Chicago Cubs | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$292.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.468Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
- +$10.0kat 0.500UAB Blazers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- +$8.6kat 0.430Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
- +$8.1kat 0.463Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$7.9kat 0.506Bills vs. Patriots
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 21:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.8k |
| 09-11 18:21 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.0k |
| 08-19 02:24 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.1389376873 | $555.75 |
| 08-19 02:23 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.1397380455 | $307.42 |
| 08-01 08:02 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $1.5k |
| 07-16 20:50 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0755801498 | $999.00 |
| 07-16 20:42 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1241729997 | $7.0k |
| 06-30 19:27 | France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $2.5k |
| 06-18 01:23 | Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $4.4k |
| 06-17 04:39 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.12 | $312.00 |
| 06-17 04:25 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.37 | $148.49 |
| 06-16 00:11 | Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $324.95 |
| 06-16 00:09 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.0k |
| 06-05 01:42 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.33 | $279.94 |
| 05-25 21:30 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5571063894 | $1000.00 |