cornishon2
0xedeed228519d9498fd9d965a4610cb4a70cb67e6
- Realised P&L
- $-881.14
- Volume
- $222.8k
- Markets traded
- 401
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded401
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.39at 0.761Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$115.82at 0.631Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$77.14at 0.706Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$76.31at 0.164Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
- +$48.04at 0.770Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:29 | Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.97 |
| 10-31 22:45 | Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North? | SELL | 0.5352784376 | $60.85 |
| 10-31 06:25 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.944 | $28.32 |
| 10-30 18:22 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.55 | $136.55 |
| 10-30 15:37 | Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.56 |
| 10-30 08:26 | Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999931 | $18.17 |
| 10-30 05:19 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $55.30 |
| 10-30 03:39 | Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.7228030437 | $40.85 |
| 10-30 01:03 | Tori FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7849103439 | $38.40 |
| 10-30 01:00 | Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6199999964 | $54.40 |
| 10-29 23:27 | SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7344174178 | $11.84 |
| 10-29 23:27 | SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $39.96 |
| 10-29 23:27 | SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.74 | $30.34 |
| 10-29 22:15 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $53.13 |
| 10-29 20:08 | Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.80 |