PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

71N

0xedea2ea9020dc73f0acbdfa851c825ebc9cea94d

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$60.9k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$67.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes0.0500.037$67.41−$23.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$48.72
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$4.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$45.00
US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$37.24
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$36.06
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$18.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Up0.2620.000$0.00−$5.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$24.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$31.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$65.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 10:47Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?BUY0.05$91.09
03-27 11:43Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?SELL0.9920423273$272.81
03-23 12:29US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.15$47.04
03-10 08:46Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.2599999646$4.91
03-10 08:41US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.3305603701$25.71
03-10 08:40US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL0.1103355875$14.71
03-10 08:34US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?SELL0.54$32.24
03-08 18:20US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.43$43.00
03-08 13:02Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?BUY0.1019999943$15.00
03-02 12:36US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.2199999944$25.00
03-02 12:36US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.149999994$20.00
03-02 12:35US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY0.0879347016$15.00
03-02 12:35US forces enter Iran by March 3?BUY0.0278948078$10.00
03-02 08:33US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.669999995$40.00
03-02 08:33US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.4499999974$35.00