euro77
0xede8c098193741fe71bbb701e1388ba22f4e38a1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.845 | $971.75 | +$17.25 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.655 | 0.635 | $241.30 | −$7.50 |
| Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$308.12at 0.787Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
- +$41.99at 0.270Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$0.00at 0.649Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
- +$-76.16at 0.432Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.9kat 0.582Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 21:10 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $118.80 |
| 10-31 14:26 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 10-31 14:09 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.649 | $249.22 |
| 10-31 12:25 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.649 | $249.22 |
| 10-30 11:50 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $456.50 |
| 10-28 12:03 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $498.00 |
| 10-28 00:42 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.984 | $57.87 |
| 10-27 12:13 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2699999991 | $15.88 |
| 10-25 23:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.095 | $351.10 |
| 10-25 22:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2789553668 | $125.00 |
| 10-25 22:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3696178869 | $452.00 |
| 10-25 19:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.26 | $43.94 |
| 10-24 03:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.795 | $166.95 |
| 10-24 02:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.778 | $357.88 |
| 10-23 12:10 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7699999995 | $197.00 |