0xedd1d0ae1dc86c1c5d44ae6e64a6e2b937c00ab9
0xedd1d0ae1dc86c1c5d44ae6e64a6e2b937c00ab9
- Realised P&L
- $61.10
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $369.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.755 | $170.75 | +$26.01 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.755 | $151.52 | +$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.425 | $47.58 | −$0.56 |
| Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$96.72 |
| Grizzlies vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.03 |
| Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.74 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.05at 0.272Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces
- +$56.82at 0.638Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty
- +$38.64at 0.558Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10?
- +$30.79at 0.746Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09?
- +$28.14at 0.688Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:00 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.75 | $150.52 |
| 10-10 19:56 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.64 | $58.52 |
| 10-10 19:55 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.59 | $62.04 |
| 10-10 19:52 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.64 | $86.22 |
| 10-10 19:49 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $89.53 |
| 10-10 18:31 | Will CD Cobresal win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5399999993 | $96.81 |
| 10-10 18:30 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5399999978 | $48.40 |
| 10-10 15:34 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5699999949 | $40.39 |
| 10-10 15:28 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 10-10 13:13 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6899999991 | $82.91 |
| 10-10 13:12 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.5999999981 | $63.10 |
| 10-10 10:35 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4299999976 | $48.14 |
| 10-10 10:34 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.6799999933 | $28.26 |
| 10-10 02:48 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.26 | $25.74 |
| 10-10 02:06 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.4099999904 | $14.03 |