noffybtw
0xedcd64c16f17771fb8cf7481546abff9d0ac8a85
- Realised P&L
- $-0.26
- Volume
- $73.00
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $34.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.260 | 0.895 | $12.53 | +$8.89 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.875 | $7.00 | +$4.44 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.336 | 0.534 | $4.27 | +$1.58 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.755 | $3.77 | +$0.17 |
| Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A · Dawn Bulls | 0.510 | 0.495 | $2.48 | −$0.07 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.074 | $2.09 | −$0.38 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.230 | $2.07 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.87at 0.627Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
- +$-1.75at 0.190Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:04 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.78 |
| 09-15 19:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in September? | BUY | 0.088 | $2.46 |
| 09-15 13:32 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.34 |
| 09-14 13:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-14 05:50 | Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Group A | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |