robavion
0xedcbe5c271e2bd53a1305eff2cb105a5000501e9
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $47.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,025
- Open portfolio
- $37.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,025
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.37at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$107.69at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$100.61at 0.488Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?
- +$100.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
- +$94.38at 0.405Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.964350135 | $75.00 |
| 08-04 15:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5099999973 | $40.00 |
| 08-04 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 22:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 22:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4499999946 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 04:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $1.21 |
| 08-03 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999947 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $4.72 |