0xEDc6b3aC0C28d447e59c024a5A7EAaB51b7Be44c-1734203413340
0xedc6b3ac0c28d447e59c024a5a7eaab51b7be44c
- Realised P&L
- $4.76
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $23.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $23.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.80at 0.813Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
- +$0.42at 0.995Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025?
- +$0.32at 0.996Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$0.23at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9?
- +$0.19at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 13:49 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.00 |
| 10-13 04:04 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $17.00 |
| 10-12 11:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.70 |
| 10-08 21:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 9? | BUY | 0.9939999828 | $40.90 |
| 10-07 09:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9942351992 | $26.00 |
| 10-03 21:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.9978771076 | $40.60 |
| 10-02 19:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9979999174 | $11.00 |
| 09-29 03:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999816 | $52.90 |
| 09-25 18:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.9969999559 | $14.00 |
| 09-22 08:06 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $42.30 |
| 09-21 19:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 09:06 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.00 |
| 09-16 18:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.997999998 | $39.90 |
| 09-14 17:20 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.9979999174 | $11.00 |
| 09-05 00:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 5? | BUY | 0.9979999792 | $41.70 |