UnknownGermanLover
0xedbb45ee03dd65e61f1cc1f33e82e806fc907d9d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.86
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $0.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.10at 0.196U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
- +$9.20at 0.260Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$5.99at 0.600T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan
- +$4.13at 0.380T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand
- +$3.48at 0.220US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 21:06 | Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0392079984 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:30 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 09-08 15:00 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1059999917 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:13 | LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 22:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999369 | $2.04 |
| 04-10 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $0.87 |
| 04-09 16:02 | Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmi | BUY | 0.02 | $0.94 |
| 03-29 17:39 | Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-29 11:56 | Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Hyderabad Kingsmen | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 14:18 | Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindiz | SELL | 0.999 | $2.38 |
| 03-28 11:57 | Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi Pindiz | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 19:56 | Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | SELL | 0.3755555556 | $3.38 |
| 03-26 16:42 | Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad Kingsmen | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 05:17 | Will Trump say "Claude" or "Anthropic" this week? (March 22) | SELL | 0.991 | $8.30 |
| 03-16 00:41 | Will Trump say "Claude" or "Anthropic" this week? (March 22) | BUY | 0.8299999964 | $6.96 |