PolyBot

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Traders

UnknownGermanLover

0xedbb45ee03dd65e61f1cc1f33e82e806fc907d9d

Realised P&L
$-4.86
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$0.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.019$0.48−$0.52
T20 World Cup: England vs India · England0.3300.000$0.00−$2.97
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$1.32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$1.02
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings · Lahore Qalandars0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$0.32
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmi · Karachi Kings0.0210.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down0.5680.000$0.00−$2.18
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 22) · No0.2400.000$0.00−$3.84
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United · Rawalpindi Pindiz0.2500.000$0.00−$2.50
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? · No0.0370.000$0.00−$1.00
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Hyderabad Kingsmen · Hyderabad Kingsmen0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? · Yes0.3110.000$0.00−$5.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Down0.3960.000$0.00−$1.95
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31? · No0.0170.000$0.00−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 21:06Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0392079984$1.00
09-15 22:30Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.005$0.05
09-08 15:00Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1059999917$1.00
09-08 14:13LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.0369999987$1.00
04-10 22:04Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.5499999369$2.04
04-10 20:22Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.08$0.87
04-09 16:02Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar ZalmiBUY0.02$0.94
03-29 17:39Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi KingsBUY0.01$1.00
03-29 11:56Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Hyderabad KingsmenBUY0.32$1.00
03-28 14:18Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi PindizSELL0.999$2.38
03-28 11:57Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Rawalpindi PindizBUY0.4199998236$1.00
03-27 19:56Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?SELL0.3755555556$3.38
03-26 16:42Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Hyderabad KingsmenBUY0.1299998986$1.00
03-23 05:17Will Trump say "Claude" or "Anthropic" this week? (March 22)SELL0.991$8.30
03-16 00:41Will Trump say "Claude" or "Anthropic" this week? (March 22)BUY0.8299999964$6.96