marketzero
0xedb272fb67d3588d6af7e1fec0f26c9a1e4d6bcb
- Realised P&L
- $608.82
- Volume
- $84.0k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.905 | $618.12 | +$276.62 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.957 | 0.972 | $194.30 | +$2.90 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No | 0.957 | 0.966 | $135.17 | +$1.19 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October? · No | 0.982 | 0.973 | $97.25 | −$0.95 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.095 | $64.89 | −$276.62 |
| McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.960 | $48.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October? · No | 0.950 | 0.977 | $40.04 | +$1.09 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? · No | 0.972 | 0.988 | $33.67 | +$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$336.00at 0.440Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 17?
- +$234.00at 0.480Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
- +$28.06at 0.830Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$21.52at 0.988Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$15.95at 0.977Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 07:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $133.98 |
| 10-02 07:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in October? | BUY | 0.982 | $98.20 |
| 10-02 06:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.972 | $33.15 |
| 09-29 07:12 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $44.82 |
| 09-29 07:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.95 |
| 09-29 07:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in September? | BUY | 0.996 | $136.45 |
| 09-29 07:08 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $149.19 |
| 09-19 03:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.994 | $10.93 |
| 09-19 03:16 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $65.75 |
| 09-19 03:16 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-19 03:13 | Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 09-19 03:11 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.977 | $97.70 |
| 09-18 10:32 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $188 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 09-18 10:32 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 09-18 10:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |