marketzero
0xedb272fb67d3588d6af7e1fec0f26c9a1e4d6bcb
- Realised P&L
- $576.02
- Volume
- $86.6k
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $384.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $99.65 | +$0.05 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No | 0.949 | 0.979 | $97.90 | +$3.00 |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $49.88 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No | 0.950 | 0.983 | $49.13 | +$1.63 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No | 0.933 | 0.969 | $38.73 | +$1.42 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? · No | 0.978 | 0.964 | $28.91 | −$0.43 |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No | 0.965 | 0.988 | $14.80 | +$0.34 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · No | 0.880 | 0.935 | $5.61 | +$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$336.00at 0.440Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 17?
- +$234.00at 0.480Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
- +$28.06at 0.830Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$21.52at 0.988Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$16.77at 0.975Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $249.50 |
| 08-07 08:52 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 08-07 08:51 | Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 08-07 08:50 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $29.34 |
| 08-07 08:49 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.28 |
| 07-30 11:46 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $72.85 |
| 07-30 11:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 07-30 11:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 07-30 11:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.949 | $94.90 |
| 07-30 11:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $39.03 |
| 07-30 11:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $17.32 |
| 07-30 11:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 07-30 11:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.69 |
| 07-30 11:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $89.81 |
| 07-30 11:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.9958576635 | $92.91 |