0xeDA5337fED17D4b25fE69b85Dadbc73ae8D0073b-1776411792892
0xeda5337fed17d4b25fe69b85dadbc73ae8d0073b
- Realised P&L
- $-960.66
- Volume
- $78.0k
- Markets traded
- 3,587
- Open portfolio
- $74.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,587
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1? · No | 0.714 | 1.000 | $34.46 | +$9.85 |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? · No | 0.670 | 0.745 | $15.05 | +$1.51 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.435 | $8.78 | +$0.50 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.410 | $8.28 | −$0.81 |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.285 | $5.76 | −$3.54 |
| Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.115 | $2.32 | −$3.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Down | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.36at 0.495Solana Up or Down - September 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
- +$79.62at 0.662Solana Up or Down - September 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$54.18at 0.511Solana Up or Down - September 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$47.90at 0.388Solana Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$43.94at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.25 |
| 10-09 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.25 |
| 10-08 11:44 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.2545693069 | $5.14 |
| 10-07 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $3.24 |
| 10-07 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999893 | $3.24 |
| 10-07 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999665 | $3.23 |
| 09-19 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999721 | $16.34 |
| 09-19 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $8.79 |
| 09-19 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.909999999 | $8.81 |
| 09-19 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.909999999 | $8.81 |
| 09-19 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $19.55 |
| 09-19 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $17.62 |