PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

nikolay484

0xeda0b8ca2c8372af0f1ff0c5b342054b34392424

Realised P&L
$-52.46
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$15.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? · Yes0.4450.360$5.53$1.30
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yes0.3200.295$4.42$0.38
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026? · Yes0.2000.195$2.92$0.07
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? · Yes0.1000.155$2.33+$0.82
Will Fortaleza EC vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.30
Will CS Cienciano vs. CA Lanús end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.92
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.4240.000$0.00$10.60
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-07-28? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00$1.88
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$6.12
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$2.80
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.10
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.1390.000$0.00$1.68
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.68
Will KF Valur win on 2026-07-30? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00$1.40
Will Liga MX All-Stars win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 00:18Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?SELL0.42$6.30
08-05 00:18Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.4299999687$6.60
08-05 00:18Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.2$3.00
08-05 00:18Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?SELL0.19$2.85
08-03 17:06Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?BUY0.1$1.50
08-03 17:06Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.11$1.65
08-03 17:06Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?BUY0.32$4.80
08-03 17:06Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.46$6.90
08-03 16:51Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?SELL0.43$6.02
08-03 16:51Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?SELL0.06$0.84
08-03 16:51Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?SELL0.08$1.12
08-03 16:50Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.11$1.54
08-03 16:50Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.46$6.44
08-03 16:50Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?BUY0.1$1.40
08-01 16:10Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-01?SELL0.22$1.10