nikolay484
0xeda0b8ca2c8372af0f1ff0c5b342054b34392424
- Realised P&L
- $-152.37
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $26.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.91at 0.084UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)
- +$21.14at 0.132Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?
- +$20.03at 0.808Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$17.11at 0.410Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?
- +$15.68at 0.372Will Cerezo Osaka win on 2026-07-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:41 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 23:11 | Dana White's Contender Series: Norbert Növényi Jr. vs. Theo Haig (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 21:25 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-21 21:21 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 21:13 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-21 20:36 | Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 20:36 | Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 14:53 | Dana White's Contender Series: Damian Piwowarczyk vs. Emilio Quissua (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-21 13:36 | Will Austria vs. Israel end in a draw? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 10:30 | Will Austria vs. Israel end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 10:15 | Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:56 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 07:55 | Will Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 05:01 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 00:11 | Colts vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |