DQZ
0xed9b20f1848e9deb642b3656ca5a2fe94c3fd616
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $932.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,582
- Open portfolio
- $520.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,582
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 21? · No | 0.922 | 0.932 | $520.09 | +$5.62 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Down | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$554.32at 0.672Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$481.55at 0.877Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$431.71at 0.751Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$386.30at 0.919Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$315.06at 0.786Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9219232308 | $514.47 |
| 09-21 15:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | SELL | 0.8612041634 | $522.09 |
| 09-19 21:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $0.32 |
| 09-19 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $1.50 |
| 09-19 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.57 |
| 09-19 21:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999875 | $1.50 |
| 09-18 22:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.572020241 | $346.78 |
| 09-18 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET | SELL | 0.6911094012 | $197.60 |
| 09-18 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.6515738668 | $186.30 |
| 09-18 22:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.77 | $361.96 |
| 09-17 15:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 15:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $116.02 |
| 09-17 01:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 16? | SELL | 0.971 | $126.21 |
| 09-16 22:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.8299999988 | $107.89 |
| 09-16 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $107.16 |