anonsubmarine
0xed98d21ec22135bc0fcdf52acc14ba309cf98dfc
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $92.1k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $456.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$485.75at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$404.70at 0.505Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?
- +$228.12at 0.574Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$189.82at 0.516Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?
- +$161.08at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:18 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.0010980498 | $0.22 |
| 09-14 21:42 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.87 | $681.66 |
| 09-08 19:02 | Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.6299999964 | $44.22 |
| 09-08 19:01 | Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30? | BUY | 0.0275572067 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 19:01 | Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 9? | BUY | 0.3915604624 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 13:43 | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BUY | 0.5417039841 | $150.00 |
| 08-18 09:59 | Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999957 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 09:59 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 09:58 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-17 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $25.00 |
| 08-17 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2404037285 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0216191909 | $25.00 |
| 08-17 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | SELL | 0.850864806 | $343.57 |
| 08-17 20:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-17 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3650636087 | $100.00 |