PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

anonsubmarine

0xed98d21ec22135bc0fcdf52acc14ba309cf98dfc

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$92.1k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$456.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes0.5420.585$161.99+$11.99
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.585$112.50+$12.50
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · No0.7700.845$109.74+$9.74
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.4100.345$42.07$7.93
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.4400.675$30.68+$10.68
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$150.00
Will MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00$125.00
Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30? · No0.0280.000$0.00$10.00
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.1250.000$0.00$120.00
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.3700.000$0.00$20.00
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$20.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$200.41
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 09:18Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.0010980498$0.22
09-14 21:42Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.87$681.66
09-08 19:02Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.6299999964$44.22
09-08 19:01Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?BUY0.0275572067$10.00
09-08 19:01Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 9?BUY0.3915604624$20.00
08-24 13:43Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?BUY0.5417039841$150.00
08-18 09:59Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.7699999957$100.00
08-18 09:59Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5199999983$100.00
08-18 09:58Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4099999969$50.00
08-17 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.1399999956$25.00
08-17 20:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.2404037285$100.00
08-17 20:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.0216191909$25.00
08-17 20:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSELL0.850864806$343.57
08-17 20:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.7699999998$100.00
08-17 20:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.3650636087$100.00