maraba
0xed88af86670a7f44cd8f72fdac8c1d962b017fa6
- Realised P&L
- $-76.85
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $23.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.169 | $23.66 | +$6.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Down | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down | 0.433 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.96 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Down | 0.405 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up | 0.389 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up | 0.463 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.58at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$5.88at 0.373Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$5.66at 0.373Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$3.18at 0.451Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$3.16at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $1.07 |
| 04-08 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.94 |
| 04-03 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $0.75 |
| 04-03 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $0.94 |
| 04-03 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $1.22 |
| 04-03 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $0.92 |
| 04-03 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $1.02 |
| 04-03 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $0.94 |
| 03-17 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $0.89 |
| 03-17 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999158 | $1.50 |
| 03-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $0.58 |
| 03-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $0.99 |
| 03-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.209999911 | $1.42 |
| 03-17 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $0.75 |
| 03-17 14:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $0.98 |