weathermanJT
0xed873c2db5ebfde9fcbb48b5bbf22135f4eab78a
- Realised P&L
- $16.05
- Volume
- $49.5k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $224.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.30at 0.397Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$142.98at 0.260Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 22?
- +$138.00at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or below on January 21?
- +$98.00at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$96.00at 0.040Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 23:35 | APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.989 | $227.47 |
| 05-12 12:04 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.176 | $272.80 |
| 05-12 12:04 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.62 | $824.60 |
| 04-25 04:27 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.53 | $121.90 |
| 04-25 04:26 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.113020705 | $118.67 |
| 03-14 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 14? | BUY | 0.994 | $273.84 |
| 03-08 04:59 | Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.0926770555 | $35.74 |
| 03-08 00:32 | Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.05210162 | $26.05 |
| 02-17 10:16 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 02-15 13:40 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.007229623 | $0.72 |
| 02-15 13:40 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.60 |
| 02-15 13:40 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 02-15 13:39 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.55 |
| 02-15 00:28 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.95 |
| 02-15 00:28 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.00 |