PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

weathermanJT

0xed873c2db5ebfde9fcbb48b5bbf22135f4eab78a

Realised P&L
$16.05
Volume
$49.5k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$224.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9890.976$224.48$2.99
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$2.90
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$6.60
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00$10.60
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.50
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$11.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on January 21? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C on January 20? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$6.00
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-17 23:35APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.989$227.47
05-12 12:04Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.176$272.80
05-12 12:04Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.62$824.60
04-25 04:27Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.53$121.90
04-25 04:26Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.113020705$118.67
03-14 02:08Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 14?BUY0.994$273.84
03-08 04:59Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.0926770555$35.74
03-08 00:32Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.05210162$26.05
02-17 10:16Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
02-15 13:40Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?SELL0.007229623$0.72
02-15 13:40Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?SELL0.006$0.60
02-15 13:40Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?SELL0.004$0.40
02-15 13:39Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.005$0.55
02-15 00:28Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.005$0.95
02-15 00:28Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL0.01$2.00