bankai
0xed870a8cb4e71834ac688ed3277d026f136bf961
- Realised P&L
- $-29.06
- Volume
- $854.86
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $106.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.570 | $68.39 | +$8.39 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.098 | $21.32 | −$87.53 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.111 | $16.65 | −$23.85 |
| Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.51at 0.570Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$24.00at 0.400Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$16.90at 0.437USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$10.86at 0.450MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$8.96at 0.300Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 00:22 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 05-14 23:26 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 04-22 09:59 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.472 | $2.36 |
| 04-19 13:27 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.48 |
| 04-06 14:12 | Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4679999802 | $4.62 |
| 04-01 01:18 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3089999931 | $19.95 |
| 02-08 04:19 | Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $5.85 |
| 02-08 04:10 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.714 | $5.71 |
| 02-04 08:20 | Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 02-04 08:19 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 01-28 17:01 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 01-28 17:00 | Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $13.76 |
| 01-28 10:35 | Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.80 |
| 01-28 10:35 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 01-18 01:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 18? | BUY | 0.0199898052 | $1.00 |