0xdfb81207AcC3ABAD7D04dA268D8B10b9CdB722c3-1762749961105
0xed86fb48ffb6964e5d57918aaec2b6b3332c092e
- Realised P&L
- $131.34
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,451
- Open portfolio
- $121.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,451
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.51at 0.050Will Trump say "Cartel" this week (November 24–30)?
- +$5.90at 0.230MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 30-January 5?
- +$5.55at 0.130Jazz vs. Knicks
- +$5.10at 0.028Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
- +$4.60at 0.080Cornell Big Red vs. Columbia Lions (W)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-05 17:17 | Will Trump talk to Kaja Kallas in January? | SELL | 0.79 | $6.93 |
| 01-05 10:51 | Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.13 |
| 01-05 08:53 | Will Trump say "Atlantic" this week? (January 11) | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 01-05 04:50 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.80 |
| 01-05 01:26 | Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5) | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 01-05 01:05 | Will Danielle Brooks win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 01-05 00:02 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 01-04 20:41 | Will DoorDash report less than 800 million total orders in Q4 2025? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 01-04 15:09 | Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.06 |
| 01-04 14:27 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 01-04 05:47 | Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 01-03 22:39 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 30-January 5? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.78 |
| 01-03 12:43 | Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 01-03 06:42 | US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.00 |
| 01-03 03:01 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.60 |