PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdfb81207AcC3ABAD7D04dA268D8B10b9CdB722c3-1762749961105

0xed86fb48ffb6964e5d57918aaec2b6b3332c092e

Realised P&L
$131.34
Volume
$18.1k
Markets traded
1,451
Open portfolio
$121.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,451
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January? · No0.7401.000$10.00+$2.60
Will Norwich City FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw? · No0.8051.000$10.00+$1.95
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · No0.6951.000$8.03+$2.45
Will Trump talk to Kaja Kallas in January? · No0.7431.000$5.01+$1.29
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08? · No0.4101.000$5.00+$2.95
SA20: Durban's Super Giants vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1) - Most Sixes Durban's Super Giants Winner · No0.8001.000$5.00+$1.00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January? · No0.0601.000$5.00+$4.70
BPL: Durdanto Dhaka vs Noakhali (Game 1) - Team Top Batter Noakhali Winner · No0.8001.000$5.00+$1.00
Cambridge United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1701.000$5.00+$4.15
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election? · No0.2801.000$5.00+$3.60
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1) - Most Sixes Adelaide Strikers Winner · No0.8001.000$5.00+$1.00
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1) - Most Sixes Adelaide Strikers Winner · No0.8001.000$5.00+$1.00
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026) · No0.9101.000$5.00+$0.45
Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat? · No0.9000.953$4.76+$0.27
Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.0601.000$3.92+$3.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-05 17:17Will Trump talk to Kaja Kallas in January?SELL0.79$6.93
01-05 10:51Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.3$1.13
01-05 08:53Will Trump say "Atlantic" this week? (January 11)SELL0.45$2.25
01-05 04:50Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?SELL0.95$1.80
01-05 01:26Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)SELL0.15$0.75
01-05 01:05Will Danielle Brooks win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?SELL0.001$0.00
01-05 00:02Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?SELL0.999$5.00
01-04 20:41Will DoorDash report less than 800 million total orders in Q4 2025?SELL0.003$0.01
01-04 15:09Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.014$0.06
01-04 14:27Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?SELL0.2$1.00
01-04 05:47Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?SELL0.01$0.05
01-03 22:39MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 30-January 5?SELL0.57$0.78
01-03 12:43Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?SELL0.01$0.01
01-03 06:42US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?SELL0.98$4.00
01-03 03:01Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?SELL0.14$0.60