0xeD83CfcA184e86112faaC22EEa8293B958782A18-1780955763162
0xed83cfca184e86112faac22eea8293b958782a18
- Realised P&L
- $-77.58
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $101.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.769 | $101.04 | +$16.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.94at 0.638Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-132.58at 0.073Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 20:49 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.6469034391 | $85.00 |
| 07-19 19:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.625999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-10 16:01 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0232821021 | $60.80 |
| 06-10 13:09 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0519999995 | $92.37 |
| 06-08 22:04 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999989 | $91.86 |