0xed7802a482184e0346d72192d79f7769722b4ab0
0xed7802a482184e0346d72192d79f7769722b4ab0
- Realised P&L
- $-302.64
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.883 | 0.995 | $5.3k | +$594.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.09at 0.180Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
- +$21.48at 0.438Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
- +$16.47at 0.812EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$8.34at 0.900Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$2.56at 0.481Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 01:46 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | SELL | 0.0010716 | $0.08 |
| 09-03 07:54 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.28 | $21.00 |
| 09-03 07:52 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | SELL | 0.051097561 | $10.48 |
| 09-03 00:46 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.40 |
| 06-21 00:30 | US x China tariff agreement by June 30? | BUY | 0.0949999922 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 13:01 | US x China tariff agreement by June 30? | SELL | 0.0632366252 | $18.64 |
| 06-18 12:59 | US x China tariff agreement by June 30? | SELL | 0.1219120687 | $8.37 |
| 06-01 00:49 | US x China tariff agreement by June 30? | BUY | 0.2613634494 | $95.00 |
| 06-01 00:47 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.810776 | $101.35 |
| 05-16 23:07 | US x China tariff agreement by May 31? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 23:06 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | SELL | 0.0057641725 | $5.40 |
| 05-16 19:55 | US x China tariff agreement by May 31? | BUY | 0.3599999753 | $7.00 |
| 05-15 08:58 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.11 |
| 05-15 07:24 | Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.834 | $5.35 |
| 05-14 13:18 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.8538675213 | $50.00 |