Phantom33Fire
0xed7121c1c21b4804ace7b4bb99f555c9c0104149
- Realised P&L
- $1.81
- Volume
- $108.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $2.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · No | 0.989 | 0.949 | $2.55 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.48at 0.917Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?
- +$0.37at 0.870Israeli forces enter Tyre by August 31?
- +$0.19at 0.919Will Solana dip to $130 November 10-16?
- +$0.14at 0.933Will Wells Fargo (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.11at 0.950Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 07:17 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? | BUY | 0.9889999981 | $2.66 |
| 08-04 06:47 | Israeli forces enter Tyre by August 31? | BUY | 0.8699999716 | $2.45 |
| 08-04 06:47 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | SELL | 0.973 | $2.30 |
| 07-24 10:42 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.9739996909 | $2.30 |
| 07-24 10:40 | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | SELL | 0.945 | $2.32 |
| 06-10 03:50 | Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.9489999857 | $2.33 |
| 06-10 03:49 | Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.39 |
| 05-13 07:55 | Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | BUY | 0.9919999273 | $2.40 |
| 05-13 04:10 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.957 | $2.61 |
| 04-04 09:52 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9469997817 | $2.59 |
| 03-20 07:49 | Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher? | BUY | 0.9989998422 | $2.59 |
| 03-16 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on March 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.56 |
| 02-02 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -8°C on February 2? | BUY | 0.9819999953 | $2.52 |
| 01-30 12:33 | Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.51 |
| 12-04 01:13 | Chris Christie charged in 2025? | BUY | 0.9599998407 | $2.41 |