saldkjhfg
0xed6f739f0030aaf161b77964a803ac0c20ad73a8
- Realised P&L
- $-109.86
- Volume
- $233.3k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $34.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.700 | $34.98 | −$6.03 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 7? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 7? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.00at 0.200Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$3.90at 0.610Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?
- +$2.69at 0.650Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 29-October 5?
- +$1.05at 0.950Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
- +$0.95at 0.999Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 06-23 08:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 02-22 13:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 22? | SELL | 0.998 | $130.83 |
| 02-22 12:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.96 |
| 02-21 01:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $130.83 |
| 02-17 10:41 | Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 02-17 10:40 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 02-17 10:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.00 |
| 02-17 10:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 02-17 10:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-17 10:40 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 08:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.00 |
| 02-08 08:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 02-08 08:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 02-08 08:36 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |