PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x299792458

0xed6d365fd26e945c7c76f62414fb33c6c83ad964

Realised P&L
$452.64
Volume
$157.3k
Markets traded
756
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded756
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.900$1.1k+$125.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.945$346.35+$45.67
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7500.905$181.00+$31.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3650.075$27.94$108.06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.205$20.50$8.50
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.6600.720$10.91+$0.91
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.1080.063$5.84$4.16
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.2400.115$4.79$5.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · T10.4800.000$0.00$288.00
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6400.000$0.00$64.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$199.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 17:24Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.23$11.50
06-26 01:53Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.986$295.79
05-29 01:14Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.77$154.00
05-19 03:38Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.01$1.00
05-03 12:04LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2199999727$5.00
04-30 02:19Raptors vs. CavaliersSELL0.999$49.95
04-27 04:13MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
04-23 06:58LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2BUY0.45817$44.33
04-20 01:21Trail Blazers vs. SpursBUY0.8699999999$992.20
04-18 17:14LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2SELL0.22$1.10
04-18 11:36LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.01$0.94
04-18 10:25LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendSELL0.069996876$11.20
04-18 09:51LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2SELL0.999$9.99
04-16 13:51LoL: HMBLE vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular SeasonBUY0.0899999599$1.89
04-16 13:50LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasonBUY0.16$2.85
Trader 0x299792458 · PolyBot