PolyBot

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Traders

0x299792458

0xed6d365fd26e945c7c76f62414fb33c6c83ad964

Realised P&L
$404.00
Volume
$160.9k
Markets traded
763
Open portfolio
$224.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded763
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.1130.230$203.54+$103.54
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.6600.805$12.20+$2.20
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.2400.095$3.96−$6.04
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0480.058$2.88+$0.47
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.1080.019$1.76−$8.24
Nuggets vs. Thunder · Nuggets0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Rockets vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6000.000$0.00−$6.00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Hanwha Life Esports0.4160.000$0.00−$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 06:53Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?BUY0.048$2.40
10-25 17:43LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.109999989$1.00
10-25 17:36LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-25 17:32LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.4199999966$5.00
10-25 17:27LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.699999965$10.00
10-24 01:48Rockets vs. SpursBUY0.6$6.00
10-10 09:24Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.95$190.00
10-06 10:37Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.1129999999$100.00
10-02 17:57Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$15.00
10-02 17:57Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.06$22.35
09-23 16:58Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.967$354.41
09-23 16:57Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.969$1.2k
07-07 17:24Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.23$11.50
06-26 01:53Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.986$295.79
05-29 01:14Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.77$154.00