Ezioauditore0
0xed6a2d1434e2e8d3a9241d8cc0828346332daeb9
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $42.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.285 | $27.87 | −$22.13 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · No | 0.375 | 0.288 | $7.68 | −$2.32 |
| Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes | 0.500 | 0.360 | $7.20 | −$2.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$344.29at 0.084Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$312.36at 0.031Jared Jones: Strikeouts O/U 2.5
- +$211.13at 0.198Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$195.00at 0.110Robert Stock: Strikeouts O/U 3.5
- +$180.00at 0.050Robert Stock: Strikeouts O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:50 | Cuba vs. Bonaire: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 22:44 | Cuba vs. Bonaire: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 22:34 | Cuba vs. Bonaire: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.9108910801 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:53 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.3751552674 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 20:43 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.5113855649 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 22:48 | Spread: Cuba (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9069615199 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 22:43 | Will Cuba win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.9190809186 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 22:40 | Will Grenada win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.993 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 22:39 | Will Cuba win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.8991008991 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 14:15 | Democratic Senate odds <60% on September 25? | BUY | 0.9643360328 | $40.00 |
| 09-25 14:15 | Democratic Senate odds <60% on September 25? | BUY | 0.9601593604 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 13:54 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.9846027287 | $60.00 |
| 09-25 13:54 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 13:53 | Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.9833329728 | $20.00 |
| 09-25 13:52 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.9764160789 | $50.00 |