0xEd69AA8Bc23837A83510A4c6102D8324ff70D3C9-1772471576312
0xed69aa8bc23837a83510a4c6102d8324ff70d3c9
- Realised P&L
- $68.48
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.05at 0.019US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$12.92at 0.280Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 13 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.006Will Trump say "Sacrifice" during Address to the Nation?
- +$-1.00at 0.072Will JD Vance say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Orbán?
- +$-1.00at 0.012Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 23:06 | Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.92 |
| 04-17 23:03 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0387862456 | $1.80 |
| 04-17 23:01 | Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | SELL | 0.0291083403 | $1.05 |
| 04-17 23:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.75 |
| 04-17 15:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $0.93 |
| 04-17 14:59 | Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0501979926 | $1.69 |
| 04-17 14:59 | Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 13:41 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of April 13 2026? | SELL | 0.159 | $3.82 |
| 04-17 12:13 | Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 04:36 | Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.62 |
| 04-15 04:28 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0485282601 | $0.90 |
| 04-15 04:27 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.47 |
| 04-12 12:51 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999796 | $6.00 |
| 04-12 12:48 | Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 12:43 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $0.90 |