lranout
0xed697dd649e5fe97b73ed8278d559cc9f5db7cc9
- Realised P&L
- $-265.10
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $142.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.19at 0.145Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 25?
- +$149.78at 0.095Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
- +$79.05at 0.740FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
- +$58.99at 0.699Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 3?
- +$51.25at 0.880Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 20 above $265?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 11:38 | Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long? | BUY | 0.8699999972 | $28.00 |
| 07-07 08:30 | SC Recife vs. Botafogo FC: SC Recife 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $10.80 |
| 06-02 11:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.9949999801 | $17.22 |
| 06-02 08:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.9935575116 | $17.22 |
| 03-16 14:48 | Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $113.94 |
| 03-15 00:29 | Spread: FC Nantes (-1.5) | BUY | 0.14 | $20.65 |
| 03-12 05:23 | Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars? | BUY | 0.2 | $56.20 |
| 03-09 14:23 | FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $73.85 |
| 03-05 08:44 | Will Kashima Antlers vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $127.75 |
| 02-19 14:17 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.020999993 | $2.91 |
| 02-16 18:32 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $7.50? | BUY | 0.044 | $9.82 |
| 02-16 10:40 | Will Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.021 | $4.17 |
| 02-16 02:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 17? | BUY | 0.023 | $3.17 |
| 02-16 00:01 | Will Katie Dempsey win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.035 | $4.88 |
| 02-15 16:35 | Will Holly McCormack win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.026 | $7.34 |