0xeD6856674dDa46Fe15E07f21f70Db4dbb9e1F22c-1768338023036
0xed6856674dda46fe15e07f21f70db4dbb9e1f22c
- Realised P&L
- $-266.82
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $106.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.260 | $106.89 | −$4.11 |
| US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? · Yes | 0.727 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$612.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.40at 0.405US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$31.38at 0.280Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-50.05at 0.065US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 06:57 | Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.2699999994 | $111.00 |
| 10-28 06:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.39 | $111.25 |
| 08-25 05:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $79.87 |
| 02-28 18:29 | US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31? | BUY | 0.7271541559 | $612.55 |
| 02-01 11:51 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.399095404 | $210.49 |
| 01-27 22:08 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999969 | $39.66 |
| 01-24 20:32 | US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.065 | $50.05 |