PolyBot

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Traders

Ermcl

0xed677602543d0627fb22a9902327359d3aa2e6f4

Realised P&L
$-288.41
Volume
$21.4k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$357.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1630.162$238.49$1.50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0390.035$90.37$9.63
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2750.055$20.00$80.00
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.002$8.33$41.67
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00$10.00
Trudeau out in 2024? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$200.00
Spread: Rams (-3.5) · Rams0.4300.000$0.00$9.99
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.10
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-18? · No0.9900.000$0.00$5.00
Canucks vs. Senators · Canucks0.3300.000$0.00$20.00
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 143.5 · Under0.5200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-18? · No0.5600.000$0.00$4.99
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26? · Down0.8100.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 20:55Spread: Spain (-1.5)SELL0.9975$41.78
07-02 18:48Spread: Spain (-1.5)BUY0.4774999961$20.00
07-01 15:59Spread: England (-1.5)BUY0.4899999814$10.00
07-01 03:55Spread: Mexico (-1.5)SELL0.93$44.28
07-01 02:06Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
07-01 02:06Spread: United States (-1.5)BUY0.4499999797$10.00
07-01 02:05Spread: Mexico (-1.5)BUY0.2099999861$10.00
06-30 19:23Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.5499999807$10.00
06-30 19:12Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
06-30 19:05Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?SELL0.999$65.14
06-29 22:41Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0209999979$10.00
06-29 22:38Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.4599999939$30.00
04-21 07:13Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.1156741344$200.00
04-21 02:34Senators vs. HurricanesBUY0.5599999776$9.74
04-21 02:28Canadiens vs. LightningBUY0.3799999964$48.14