Ermcl
0xed677602543d0627fb22a9902327359d3aa2e6f4
- Realised P&L
- $-288.41
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $357.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$550.39at 0.315Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?
- +$166.64at 0.599Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?
- +$66.60at 0.300Trump wins every swing state?
- +$53.13at 0.472Spread: Rams (-3.5)
- +$52.44at 0.160Ducks vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 20:55 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | SELL | 0.9975 | $41.78 |
| 07-02 18:48 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4774999961 | $20.00 |
| 07-01 15:59 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 03:55 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | SELL | 0.93 | $44.28 |
| 07-01 02:06 | Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 02:06 | Spread: United States (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 02:05 | Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 19:23 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 19:12 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 19:05 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $65.14 |
| 06-29 22:41 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999979 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 22:38 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4599999939 | $30.00 |
| 04-21 07:13 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.1156741344 | $200.00 |
| 04-21 02:34 | Senators vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $9.74 |
| 04-21 02:28 | Canadiens vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.3799999964 | $48.14 |