0xed65d0d640aaa4a9a11728a250bcfac0d666b141
0xed65d0d640aaa4a9a11728a250bcfac0d666b141
- Realised P&L
- $102.08
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $55.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Shanghai, China? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.430 | $22.02 | +$1.02 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.030 | $19.14 | −$14.86 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.079 | $8.01 | −$1.99 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.022 | $6.75 | −$29.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.41at 0.058Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$105.52at 0.430Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$90.00at 0.100Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$54.10at 0.082Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$45.08at 0.380Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 06:44 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Shanghai, China? | BUY | 0.4099999936 | $21.00 |
| 10-11 06:43 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.975 | $59.45 |
| 09-09 07:02 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | SELL | 0.31 | $8.38 |
| 09-09 05:45 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 01:44 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0380564253 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 01:17 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 15:25 | Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.33 |
| 06-27 09:38 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | SELL | 0.8272439689 | $124.48 |
| 06-27 09:38 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0485548852 | $8.00 |
| 06-07 15:54 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.2199999966 | $49.63 |
| 06-05 14:14 | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 13:40 | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 06-05 13:22 | Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |
| 06-05 06:24 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 05-30 15:25 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |