fofelix
0xed65cc3f37b85365473823c28e9683de33dfb1b2
- Realised P&L
- $-7.7k
- Volume
- $89.2k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $354.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$401.37at 0.272Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?
- +$346.85at 0.306Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?
- +$341.31at 0.597Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?
- +$266.93at 0.487Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$254.98at 0.286Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 11:43 | Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.7779215145 | $44.00 |
| 10-11 13:06 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 13:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 12:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 21:12 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0586773916 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 21:10 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $75.00 |
| 09-06 21:45 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.05 |
| 09-06 21:45 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.3046 | $56.35 |
| 09-06 21:42 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.70 |
| 07-31 22:01 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.6409891165 | $142.27 |
| 07-31 22:00 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2699999963 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 21:55 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.572617434 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 16:25 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.5749999994 | $75.00 |
| 07-14 17:09 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6239999963 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 17:08 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |