PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GoldenThiefBug

0xed65babc182d5017a67641a450aa9b006ced6673

Realised P&L
$-856.73
Volume
$186.4k
Markets traded
549
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded549
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 30? · Yes0.6230.000$0.00−$28.16
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 2? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00−$8.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 12:36Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.1450093078$8.57
09-30 17:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.8$4.16
09-29 12:36Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 29?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-26 10:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 26?BUY0.725$7.25
09-26 10:04Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 26?BUY0.17$5.32
09-24 18:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 24?BUY0.8886162576$24.87
09-24 17:59Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 24?BUY0.8699999958$12.45
09-24 17:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 24?BUY0.665$6.65
09-24 17:52Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 24?BUY0.8433333333$12.65
09-23 12:46Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?BUY0.3$9.32
09-18 03:48Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-18 03:47Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.2199999901$4.00
09-18 03:46Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.0552054795$4.03
09-16 11:49Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 16?BUY0.9$7.24
09-16 03:08Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 16?BUY0.64$16.29