pogodka
0xed62bbd2ab3b28151491f3deee6bc7fcc121c51d
- Realised P&L
- $598.95
- Volume
- $361.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,099
- Open portfolio
- $16.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,099
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.141Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?
- +$854.72at 0.383Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 1?
- +$556.39at 0.347Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?
- +$365.55at 0.330Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 28?
- +$310.47at 0.575Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.61 |
| 09-20 12:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-20 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-20 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.12 |
| 09-20 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 08:51 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.02 |
| 09-20 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 08:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-20 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1709999867 | $1.77 |
| 09-20 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.45 |
| 09-20 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.375 | $3.75 |
| 09-20 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 09-20 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.86 |
| 09-20 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |