PolyBot

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Traders

pogodka

0xed62bbd2ab3b28151491f3deee6bc7fcc121c51d

Realised P&L
$598.95
Volume
$361.6k
Markets traded
3,099
Open portfolio
$16.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,099
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on September 20? · Yes0.2600.867$10.31+$7.22
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on September 20? · Yes0.0100.170$3.74+$3.52
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 20? · Yes0.4600.430$2.15$0.15
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on September 20? · Yes0.5800.090$0.45$2.45
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? · No0.0420.003$0.03$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20? · Yes0.2340.001$0.01$7.01
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on September 20? · Yes0.0010.001$0.01$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20? · Yes0.1600.001$0.00$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 21? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$3.55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 24? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$1.08
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 1? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$5.43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$3.01
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 29? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$1.80
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 4? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 12:22Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.23$1.61
09-20 12:19Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 20?BUY0.46$2.30
09-20 12:09Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.3$1.50
09-20 10:13Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.36$9.12
09-20 09:13Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.2$2.00
09-20 08:51Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20?BUY0.16$1.02
09-20 08:28Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.6$3.00
09-20 08:23Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on September 20?BUY0.58$2.90
09-20 08:14Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.1709999867$1.77
09-20 03:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.23$3.45
09-20 03:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.375$3.75
09-20 02:49Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-20 02:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.23$2.30
09-20 02:47Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.017$0.86
09-20 02:41Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.13$1.04