PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0.2

0xed61537ab38a00a99ee272acc63d934234061da6

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$89.4k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$14.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1800.055$14.30$32.50
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$1.59
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$84.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-20 14:35SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?SELL0.9$171.00
02-06 08:53SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.85$161.50
02-01 15:44Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.67$160.80
01-19 18:00Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.7083333333$170.00
01-19 17:56Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.18$46.80
01-19 14:39Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?SELL0.59$117.41
01-17 18:08Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY0.58$115.42
01-17 14:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.014$4.21
01-04 18:38Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$3.31
12-11 08:30BNB all time high by December 31?BUY0.9837551$196.75
12-10 09:50Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0159$1.59
12-10 09:47Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?SELL0.987$214.06
11-18 16:20Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?BUY0.975$106.27
11-18 16:20Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?BUY0.973$104.97
11-13 05:16Nuggets vs. ClippersSELL0.08$4.00