4hm3d241m1e
0xed5dd19c75f2442d27e55aa16e6ac76f999cd67f
- Realised P&L
- $-372.48
- Volume
- $48.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,287
- Open portfolio
- $8.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,287
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.79at 0.416Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?
- +$53.18at 0.163Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$49.33at 0.037Solana Up or Down on October 17?
- +$41.14at 0.177Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
- +$38.06at 0.239Sion: Michael Zhu vs Thiago Cigarran
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 05:51 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.50 |
| 10-22 05:19 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.48 |
| 10-22 05:19 | Solana Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 10-22 05:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.48 |
| 10-18 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.90 |
| 10-18 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.0990124309 | $3.10 |
| 10-18 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 18? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.97 |
| 10-18 18:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-18 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 10-18 13:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 18? | SELL | 0.996975976 | $9.96 |
| 10-17 23:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9799999822 | $9.90 |
| 10-17 22:53 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $9.90 |
| 10-17 22:43 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $9.90 |
| 10-17 22:43 | Solana Up or Down - October 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.969999998 | $9.90 |
| 10-17 22:38 | Solana Up or Down - October 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |