PolyBot

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Traders

marisawallace-572

0xed55648f56d7da51d633b88426d6b91ec653d45c

Realised P&L
$-10.60
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$5.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies · Pelicans0.3400.355$5.70+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:39Pelicans vs. GrizzliesBUY0.33999999$5.46
01-10 13:51Clippers vs. PistonsBUY0.3299999425$3.10
01-08 20:49Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.4399999254$2.36
01-06 10:56Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?BUY0.5981700748$25.17
01-04 20:11Nuggets vs. NetsBUY0.4299999843$7.38
01-03 13:50Ravens vs. SteelersBUY0.6599999457$11.91
01-01 21:56Hawks vs. KnicksBUY0.7299999821$28.07
12-31 01:29Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.991$201.37
12-30 21:45Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.992$201.58
12-30 21:42Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.987$201.57
12-30 19:57Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.988$201.77
12-30 19:53Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.994$206.15
12-30 17:34Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.995$206.36
12-30 17:30Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.998$201.95
12-30 16:20Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.999$202.15