marisawallace-572
0xed55648f56d7da51d633b88426d6b91ec653d45c
- Realised P&L
- $-10.60
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $5.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans vs. Grizzlies · Pelicans | 0.340 | 0.355 | $5.70 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.91at 0.598Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
- +$9.78at 0.430Nuggets vs. Nets
- +$6.29at 0.330Clippers vs. Pistons
- +$4.97at 0.690Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$0.38at 0.570Ethereum all time high before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:39 | Pelicans vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.33999999 | $5.46 |
| 01-10 13:51 | Clippers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.3299999425 | $3.10 |
| 01-08 20:49 | Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.4399999254 | $2.36 |
| 01-06 10:56 | Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5981700748 | $25.17 |
| 01-04 20:11 | Nuggets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.4299999843 | $7.38 |
| 01-03 13:50 | Ravens vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.6599999457 | $11.91 |
| 01-01 21:56 | Hawks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.7299999821 | $28.07 |
| 12-31 01:29 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.991 | $201.37 |
| 12-30 21:45 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $201.58 |
| 12-30 21:42 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.987 | $201.57 |
| 12-30 19:57 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.988 | $201.77 |
| 12-30 19:53 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.994 | $206.15 |
| 12-30 17:34 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.995 | $206.36 |
| 12-30 17:30 | Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $201.95 |
| 12-30 16:20 | Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $202.15 |