mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmwewdmf
0xed4f1b0f4cb24b50dd4e2762261047f6d3d45bdb
- Realised P&L
- $19.13
- Volume
- $441.70
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $17.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.59at 0.083Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?
- +$5.53at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8?
- +$5.00at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?
- +$2.42at 0.448Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?
- +$2.37at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.20 |
| 10-08 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.1904761905 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.989 | $7.61 |
| 10-08 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.66 |