PolyBot

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Traders

mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmwewdmf

0xed4f1b0f4cb24b50dd4e2762261047f6d3d45bdb

Realised P&L
$19.13
Volume
$441.70
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$17.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 14:59Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
10-08 14:58Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-08 14:58Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 14:56Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?SELL0.977$4.20
10-08 14:16Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-08 14:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 14:13Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?BUY0.1904761905$1.00
10-08 14:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 9?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-08 14:12Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9?BUY0.32$1.00
10-08 14:12Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-08 14:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-08 14:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8?SELL0.989$7.61
10-08 07:42Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-08 07:42Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 8?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-08 07:37Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?SELL0.33$0.66