S23DE
0xed4c92acbe84c3a9a10c62e5bb7f90976c246ee3
- Realised P&L
- $26.41
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $160.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No | 0.519 | 0.500 | $117.43 | −$4.43 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.800 | 0.935 | $19.09 | +$2.76 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.055 | $15.30 | −$146.66 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.545 | 0.068 | $7.60 | −$53.75 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.046 | $0.88 | −$7.39 |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Cavaliers | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$204.82 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · No | 0.442 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.57 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.68 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? · No | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.06 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in February? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.66 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in February? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.96 |
| Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.20 |
| Will Apple dip to $248 in February? · Yes | 0.443 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.25at 0.570US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$216.21at 0.427Lakers vs. Suns
- +$131.77at 0.683US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$85.47at 0.180Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$40.78at 0.240US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 13:57 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4418 | $44.18 |
| 03-03 13:55 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5938998999 | $59.33 |
| 03-03 13:52 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.754 | $75.40 |
| 03-03 10:15 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4180133038 | $30.16 |
| 03-03 10:15 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.50 |
| 03-03 07:09 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.418 | $4.93 |
| 03-02 08:41 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.50 |
| 03-01 23:25 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4352 | $21.76 |
| 03-01 22:23 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6416169736 | $63.05 |
| 03-01 16:32 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4058601824 | $6.68 |
| 03-01 16:31 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6139867709 | $10.21 |
| 03-01 16:24 | Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $22.77 |
| 03-01 16:24 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4707004777 | $11.88 |
| 03-01 16:24 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $58.41 |
| 03-01 12:18 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.588 | $19.40 |