Sinky
0xed49de281328083415a7217e5115798d3758721a
- Realised P&L
- $882.62
- Volume
- $149.2k
- Markets traded
- 976
- Open portfolio
- $261.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded976
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$742.23at 0.273Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
- +$489.10at 0.547Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$464.26at 0.171Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$391.56at 0.402Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$374.85at 0.483Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.50964575 | $61.16 |
| 10-08 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $7.20 |
| 10-08 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 10-08 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-07 17:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $12.00 |
| 10-07 16:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $14.55 |
| 10-07 16:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $156.68 |
| 10-07 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $12.08 |
| 10-07 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-07 14:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $14.84 |