PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xED45D507dEa8FB2F99F01C752D88b2DF9d183dE8-1767034229178

0xed45d507dea8fb2f99f01c752d88b2df9d183de8

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$122.8k
Markets traded
2,479
Open portfolio
$484.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,479
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sabres vs. Blue Jackets · Blue Jackets0.5000.495$247.50−$2.50
Flyers vs. Devils · Flyers0.4000.395$237.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$2.65
ATX Open, Qualification: Caroline Dolehide vs Ena Shibahara · Shibahara0.3800.000$0.00−$114.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00−$2.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.3160.000$0.00−$3.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00−$2.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00−$3.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.7200.000$0.00−$3.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Down0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 · Over0.4710.000$0.00−$99.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 00:02Sabres vs. Blue JacketsBUY0.5$250.00
10-01 00:02Flyers vs. DevilsBUY0.4$240.00
08-28 14:36Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.5$53.48
08-28 14:33Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.49$9.80
08-25 17:16Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.29$145.00
08-25 17:16Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.28$77.00
08-23 02:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.87$4.35
08-23 02:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.69$3.45
08-23 02:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.39$1.95
08-23 02:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.6$3.00
08-23 02:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.26$1.95
08-23 02:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.52$2.60
08-23 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.72$3.60
08-23 02:25Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.77$3.85
08-23 02:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.62$3.10