inevitablewagmi
0xed421ce9113f92be1d586a6bc070b9ef11a8ac3c
- Realised P&L
- $27.16
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $105.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 7? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.999 | $105.70 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.23at 0.975France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$0.58at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5?
- +$0.55at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?
- +$0.48at 0.995Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 21?
- +$0.43at 0.995Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $105.65 |
| 10-05 16:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.55 |
| 10-04 17:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9940597289 | $104.97 |
| 10-03 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.89 |
| 10-02 17:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.78 |
| 10-01 17:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9966087985 | $104.45 |
| 09-30 17:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.35 |
| 09-29 16:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999946 | $104.15 |
| 09-28 17:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $103.85 |
| 09-27 16:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $145 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $103.75 |
| 09-26 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $103.65 |
| 09-25 17:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $103.58 |
| 09-24 16:37 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on September 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $103.40 |
| 09-23 18:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $103.10 |
| 09-22 18:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $102.90 |