Boothdfgb
0xed41c3866bce84488aa6a90e86206dc878dbcbd6
- Realised P&L
- $-10.39
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $143.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games Total: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.670 | 1.000 | $124.99 | +$41.25 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $17.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.021 | $0.73 | −$15.02 |
| Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.40 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Top Esports | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.90 |
| UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) · Benoît Saint Denis | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.30 |
| Spread: Algeria (-1.5) · Algeria | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$450.69at 0.500Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$438.96at 0.500Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$438.24at 0.500Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
- +$183.23at 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$105.58at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:52 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $359.64 |
| 10-13 09:51 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 09:51 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $175.00 |
| 10-13 09:51 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $91.16 |
| 10-13 09:51 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $185.00 |
| 10-13 09:50 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $273.47 |
| 10-13 09:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.37 |
| 10-13 09:49 | Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $365.00 |
| 10-13 09:48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $367.26 |
| 10-13 09:48 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 09:47 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $379.62 |
| 10-13 09:47 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 09:47 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $380.00 |
| 10-13 06:41 | Games Total: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $83.74 |
| 10-08 08:30 | Will Kamila Zlatušková be the next Mayor of Brno? | BUY | 0.45 | $15.75 |