0xed401f51ed1feee5ac8df70b113f11d2e73df7c1
0xed401f51ed1feee5ac8df70b113f11d2e73df7c1
- Realised P&L
- $3.18
- Volume
- $116.04
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $4.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 1.000 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.820 | 0.997 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.320 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.415 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.140 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? · Down | 0.400 | 0.155 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.78at 0.270US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?
- +$2.16at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.65at 0.389S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 23:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:55 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:09 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:41 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:36 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:35 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:38 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:14 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:35 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998519 | $1.03 |