AlexMiller03
0xed3f311458910a4ad9f7cd94d74e51d54ee13e99
- Realised P&L
- $-52.47
- Volume
- $32.5k
- Markets traded
- 335
- Open portfolio
- $1.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded335
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
- +$112.43at 0.170Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?
- +$93.84at 0.056Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$42.27at 0.310Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?
- +$40.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-23 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6743859649 | $9.61 |
| 09-22 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.4878604963 | $7.27 |
| 09-22 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 09-21 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-21 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.90 |
| 09-21 10:36 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.21 | $0.92 |
| 09-20 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.52 |
| 09-20 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-19 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.14 |
| 09-19 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 09-18 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.30 |