Aptekar
0xed366b5fe36e51bbee1622fde80da96c7974e096
- Realised P&L
- $-7.3k
- Volume
- $326.0k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $9.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.428Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$1.1kat 0.353US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.561Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$1.0kat 0.282Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$977.22at 0.380Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 09:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.697837052 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 09:32 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 09:31 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.259402083 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 09:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 09:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 14:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 14:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7770485103 | $300.00 |
| 09-03 14:55 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2797115557 | $300.00 |
| 09-03 14:54 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4861957039 | $600.00 |
| 08-26 16:35 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5479239746 | $1000.00 |
| 08-26 16:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.681192723 | $1000.00 |
| 08-20 16:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.309999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 18:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5187032408 | $200.00 |
| 07-20 18:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7623762368 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 16:24 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |