Aptekar
0xed366b5fe36e51bbee1622fde80da96c7974e096
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $334.5k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.428Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$1.1kat 0.353US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.561Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$1.0kat 0.282Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$977.22at 0.380Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 12:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 12:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7599999964 | $50.00 |
| 10-15 12:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.5699999983 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 09:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3399999995 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 09:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.66 | $101.53 |
| 10-03 15:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 17:32 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3652754542 | $500.00 |
| 10-01 17:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.4499999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 17:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.739999998 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 04:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7289999987 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 04:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.6899999987 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 04:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7573224225 | $500.00 |
| 09-22 04:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-08 09:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.697837052 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 09:32 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |